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Football Player Potential Prediction Model
A machine-learning model that reads scouting attributes and predicts player talent level with roughly 85% accuracy.
~85% · Prediction accuracy
The challenge
Scoutium's scouts assess players from detailed attribute data, but judging genuine potential by eye is subjective and hard to keep consistent across a large pool of prospects. Two scouts can weigh the same attributes differently, and there was no objective, repeatable read on how much talent a given player profile actually implied.
Scoutium wanted a data-driven second opinion: a model that could look at a player's attributes and estimate their talent level consistently, to support - not replace - the scout's judgement.
The approach
I built a machine-learning model that predicts a player's talent level directly from their scouted attribute data. I engineered features from the raw attributes, trained and tuned a classification model, and validated it so its accuracy would hold on players it had not seen during training.
The finished model gives scouts an objective, repeatable read on potential with roughly 85% accuracy, turning a large table of attributes into a single, comparable talent signal that sits alongside human scouting judgement rather than overriding it.
The outcome
Results that moved the needle.
- ~85%
-
Prediction accuracy
Talent-level prediction validated on held-out players
- Objective
-
Talent signal
A consistent, repeatable read on player potential from attribute data
- Decision support
-
For scouts
Augments rather than replaces human scouting judgement
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